2024-12-14 00:28:58
Guotai Junan: The long-term incremental "option" brought by humanoid robots is expected to help the valuation of the rare earth sector rise. When looking forward to the strategy of the rare earth sector in 2025, Guotai Junan said that the market had expected that with the slowdown in the growth of core demand power such as new energy vehicles and wind power in the future, the demand for rare earth markets is under downward pressure. However, we expect that the rising consumption of magnetic materials for new energy vehicles and the warming demand for wind power are still expected to support the basic demand growth, and the demand for equipment renewal that began to land in 2024 is expected to become a new driving force for rare earth demand. On the supply side, an orderly pattern of domestic supply has been established, with many overseas planning increments but slow actual volume, and continuous supply-side constraints. In addition, the long-term incremental "options" brought by humanoid robots are also expected to help the valuation of the plate rise.Australian Government: Australia will provide Papua New Guinea with $600 million in 10 years to help rugby league teams enter Australia's top leagues.CITIC Securities: There is no need to be overly pessimistic about the export of home appliances catalyzed by state subsidies. CITIC Securities Research Report said that domestically, the sales data of white electricity and black electricity continued to improve under the support of state subsidies. Externally, the overall export exposure of home appliance enterprises to the United States is relatively limited, so there is no need to be overly pessimistic. Looking forward to the future, the domestic demand stimulus policy is expected to be further overweight, and it is suggested to focus on white power enterprises that benefit from state subsidies; Optional sectors where domestic demand is expected to reverse (small household appliances, projection).
South Korean President Yin Xiyue appeared in the office on Thursday for the first time in five days.Offshore RMB and Australian dollar rose slightly. Affected by the news, USD/offshore RMB fell 0.1% to 7.2696. AUD/USD rose 0.2% to 0.6381. A foreign exchange trader in Asia said that the small leveraged account that shorted AUD/USD on Wednesday also closed its position. NZD/USD rose 0.1% to 0.5792.Market News: South Korean President Yin Xiyue may release a recorded public speech.
High-word-of-mouth movies rush to the box office at the end of the year. The Spring Festival file in 2025 is expected to usher in a strong performance. According to the data of Lighthouse Professional Edition, as of December 11 (17: 40), the cumulative box office of 20 movies in 2024 has reached 1.119 billion yuan. Among them, "Good Things" has a box office of 569 million yuan and a douban score of 9.1, which leads both word-of-mouth and box office. In addition, this week's three potential new films, Broken Hell, Misjudgment and Lion Boy 2, have been screened and entered the box office sprint at the end of the year. It is also known that four films, Nezha's Devil Children Roaring the Sea, The Legend of the Condor Heroes: The Great Man, The Fortunes of the Gods Part II: The War in the West, The Bear Appears and Restarts the Future, have been confirmed to be scheduled for the Spring Festival in 2025. The "National Film Consumption Season for the benefit of the people" launched by the State Film Bureau on December 9 will last from December 2024 to February 2025, and a total of not less than 600 million yuan will be invested in movie viewing subsidies, covering the Lunar New Year and Spring Festival files, which will help promote the market's enthusiasm for watching movies. Huatai Securities released a research report saying that the box office of the Spring Festival in 2025 is expected to usher in a strong performance. In 2025, the supply and demand sides of the film market are expected to improve, or will push the fundamental inflection point of the cinema line plate upward. (Securities Daily)Guosheng Securities Xiongyuan: We can be more optimistic about the policy and the market. "The biggest highlight of this Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party is' face the problem and prescribe the right medicine'." Xiong Yuan, chief economist of Guosheng Securities, said that many new ideas and expressions of the meeting directly pointed to various challenges that China's economy urgently needs to solve, and made a strong response to various problems. Xiong Yuan pointed out that the market can be more firm in policy strength and policy determination for at least one and a half years in the future. In the future, the imagination of policies is relatively large.Survey: Most Japanese companies expect Trump 2.0 to damage the business environment. According to a survey in Reuters, nearly three-quarters of Japanese companies expect Trump's second US presidency to have a negative impact on the business environment of Japanese companies. The reasons for concern include the planned tariff increase and trade tensions. The manager of a machinery manufacturer wrote in the survey: "It is difficult to predict his policies, which makes it difficult for our client company to make investment decisions"; Although 73% of the respondents said that Trump's second entry into the White House will not have a favorable impact on their business environment, the rest of the respondents expect a positive impact, including the expectation that domestic demand in the United States will expand through tax cuts, and energy and environmental policies may also be revised; When asked what measures they would take if Trump raised tariffs, two-thirds of the respondents said their business strategy was unlikely to change, 22% said they would cut costs, and 8% said they would work hard to expand their cultivation in markets outside the United States.
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide